Inversión en valor con base al modelo del análisis de margen de seguridad y flujo de caja libre descontado en acciones
Resumen
La inversión en valor es un enfoque en el cual los inversores buscan comprar acciones de empresas que están subvaloradas en comparación con sus fundamentos económicos. Estas empresas tienen un mayor potencial de revalorización a medida que el mercado reconozca su valor verdadero, ya que el mercado suele cometer errores al valorar acciones. Una de las ventajas de la inversión en valor es que proporciona un margen de seguridad a los inversores, además, las empresas que se consideran subvaloradas suelen tener un mayor rendimiento que el mercado en general a medida que se identifica su valor real. Esta estrategia de inversión ha demostrado ser efectiva a lo largo del tiempo, ya que las empresas subvaloradas tienden a superar al mercado en el largo plazo, sin embargo, requiere un análisis riguroso y detallado, ya que puede tomar tiempo para que el valor intrínseco de una empresa se refleje en su precio de acción.
Palabras clave
Texto completo:
PDFReferencias
Apergis, N., & Rehman, M. U. (Marzo de 2018). Is CAPM a Behavioral Model? Estimating. Journal of Behavioral Finance, 19(4). doi:https://doi.org/10.1080/15427560.2018.1431885
Barrios, J. G., & Velasco, S. R. (Febrero de 2005). Regression analysis and dependence.
METRIKA, 61. doi:10.1007/s001840400325
Bask, M. (Septiembre de 2010). Measuring potential market risk. Journal of Financial Stability,
6(3). doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2009.07.003
Boehmer, B., & Boehmer, E. (Septiembre de 2003). Trading your neighbor’s ETFs: Competition or fragmentation? Journal of Banking & Finance, 27(9). doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4266(03)00095-5
Botello, H. A., & Rincón, I. G. (Junio de 2021). Modelo CAPM para valorar el riesgo de los inversionistas. Entramado , 7(1). doi:https://doi.org/10.18041/1900- 3803/entramado.1.7242
Boucher, C., & Tokpavi, S. (Julio de 2019). Stocks and bonds: Flight-to-safety for ever? Journal of International Money and Finance, 95.
doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2019.03.002
Boutabba, M. A., & Rannou, Y. (Mayo de 2022). Investor strategies in the green bond market: The influence of liquidity risks, economic factors and clientele effects. International Review of Financial Analysis, 81. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2022.102071
Chang, K. H., & Young, M. N. (Diciembre de 2019). Behavioral stock portfolio optimization considering holding periods of B-stocks with short-selling. Computers & Operations Research, 112. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cor.2019.104773
Churyk, N. T. (Octubre de 2005). Reporting goodwill: are the new accounting standards consistent with market valuations? Journal of Business Research, 58(10). doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2004.05.006
Dai, Z., Zhang, X., & Lia, T. (Noviembre de 2022). Forecasting stock return volatility in data-rich environment: A new powerful predictor. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2022.101845
Dergiades, T., Milas, C., & Panagiotidis, T. (Febrero de 2020). A mixed frequency approach for stock returns and valuation ratios. Economics Letters, 187.
doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2019.108861
Fu, C., Huang, Q., & Tang, H. (Septiembre de 2022). Do ETFs affect ADRs and U.S. domestic stocks differently? Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 80. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2022.101643
Fu, J., Xu, F., Zeng, C., & Zheng, L. (Mayo de 2022). Free Cash Flows and Price Momentum.
Journal Of Accounting Auditing and Finance. doi:10.1177/0148558X221091803
G.Baur, D., Dichtl, H., Drobetz, W., & Wendt, V. S. (Octubre de 2020). Investing in gold – Market timing or buy-and-hold? International Review of Financial Analysis, 71.
doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2018.11.008
Gandhmal, D. P., & Kumar, K. (Noviembre de 2019). Systematic analysis and review of stock market prediction techniques. Computer Science Review, 34.
doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosrev.2019.08.001
García, J. M., González, L. O., & Santomil, P. D. (Abril de 2022). Value investing: application of different strategies to equity mutual funds. Spanish Journal of Finance and Accounting,
51(2). doi:10.1080/02102412.2021.1909318
Gujarathi, M. R. (Febrero de 2019). Diamond Foods, Inc.: A Comprehensive Case in Financial Analysis and Valuation. Issues In Accounting Education, 34(1). doi:10.2308/iace-52344
Haass, O., & Guzman, G. (Mayo de 2020). Understanding project evaluation - a review and reconceptualization. International Journal of Managing Projects in Business, 13(3). doi:10.1108/IJMPB-10-2018-0217
Hanauer, M. X., Kononova, M., & SteffenRapp, M. (Agosto de 2022). Boosting agnostic fundamental analysis: Using machine learning to identify mispricing in European stock markets. Finance Research Letters, 48. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2022.102856
Hidayat, S., Bamahriz, O., Hidayati, N., Sari, C. A., & Dewandaru, G. (Julio de 2022). Value drivers of startup valuation from venture capital equity-based investing: A global analysis with a focus on technological factors. Borsa Istanbul Review, 22(4). doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2021.10.001
Hui, E. C., & Chan, K. K. (Noviembre de 2019). Alternative trading strategies to beat “buy-and- hold”. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 534.
doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2019.04.036
Hundal, S., Eskola, A., & Tuan, D. (Julio de 2019). Risk return relationship in the Finnish stock market in the light of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). Journal of Transnational Management, 24(4). doi:https://doi.org/10.1080/15475778.2019.1641394
Isiksal, A. Z., Backhaus, A., & Jung, D. (Julio de 2019). Value investing across asset classes. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 32(1). doi:10.1080/1331677X.2019.1636696
J.O’Brien, T. (Abril de 2022). Cross-border valuation using the International CAPM and the constant perpetual growth model. Journal of Economics and Business, 119.
doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconbus.2021.106042
Jiang, W. (Diciembre de 2021). Applications of deep learning in stock market prediction: Recent progress. Expert Systems with Applications, 184.
doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2021.115537
Kanuri, S., & McLeod, R. W. (Noviembre de 2016). Sustainable competitive advantage and stock performance: the case for wide moat stocks. Applied Economics, 48(52). doi:10.1080/00036846.2016.1170938
Kumar, G., & Misra, A. K. (Enero de 2019). Liquidity-adjusted CAPM — An empirical analysis on Indian stock market. Cogent Economics & Finance, 7(1). doi:https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2019.1573471
Kwon, S., Ahn, J. H., & H.Kim, G. (Mayo de 2021). The impact of shareholder intervention on overinvestment of free cash flow by overconfident CEOs. International Review of Financial Analysis, 75. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2021.101751
M.Bartram, S., & Grinblatt, M. (Abril de 2018). Agnostic fundamental analysis works. Journal of Financial Economics, 128(1). doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2016.11.008
Macii, D., Dalpez, S., Passerone, R., Corrà, M., Avancini, M., & Benciolini, L. (Mayo de 2015). A safety instrumented system for rolling stocks: Methodology, design process and safety analysis. Measurement, 67. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.measurement.2015.01.002
Mail, T. G. (Septiembre de 2022). ETFs 101: What are exchange-traded funds?: An exchange- traded fund is a popular investing option – especially for beginners – looking for a low-fee ways to add diversification to their portfolio. General Interest Periodicals. Obtenido de https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/article-etf-exchange-traded-funds-101/
Markwat, T., Quist, J., & Zomerdijk, C. (Mayo de 2021). Value Investing for Commodities.
Journal Of Alternative Investments, 23(2). doi:10.3905/jai.2020.1.107
Najib, M., Abdul, R., Kamalahasan, A., & Mohd, H. (Julio de 2022). Identification of Risk Factors in Business Valuation. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 15(7). doi:10.3390/jrfm15070282
Oosterom, J.-P., & Hall, C. A. (Septiembre de 2022). Enhancing the evaluation of Energy Investments by supplementing traditional discounted cash flow with Energy Return on Investment analysis. Energy Policy, 168. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2022.112953 Ostrovski, V. (Octubre de 2022). Testing equivalence to binary generalized linear models with application to logistic regression. Statistics & Probability Letters, 191.
doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spl.2022.109658
Pal, R., Chaudhuri, T. D., & Mukhopadhyay, S. (Diciembre de 2021). Portfolio formation and optimization with continuous realignment: A suggested method for choosing the best portfolio of stocks using variable length NSGA-II. Expert Systems with Applications, 136. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2021.115732
Papathanasiou, S., Dokas, I., & Koutsokostas, D. (Noviembre de 2022). Value investing versus other investment strategies: A volatility spillover approach and portfolio hedging strategies for investors. (Elsevier, Ed.) The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 62. doi:10.1016/j.najef.2022.101764
Perez, G. A. (Marzo de 2018). Value Investing and Size Effect in the South Korean Stock Market.
International Journal Of Financial Studies, 6(1). doi:10.3390/ijfs6010031
Peymankar, M., Davari, M., & Ranjbar, M. (16 de octubre de 2021). Maximizing the expected net present value in a project with uncertain cash flows. European Journal of Operational Research, 294(2). doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2021.01.039
Plenborg, T. (Septiembre de 2002). Firm valuation: comparing the residual income and discounted cash flow approaches. Scandinavian Journal of Management, 18(3). doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/S0956-5221(01)00017-3
Rajendiran, & Priyadarsini. (Julio de 2021). Survival study on stock market prediction techniques using sentimental analysis. Materials Today: Proceedings. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.matpr.2021.07.217
Ruiz, I. F., Renneboog, L., & Vansteenkiste, C. (Octubre de 2020). Elective stock and scrip dividends. Journal of Corporate Finance, 64. doi:10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2020.101660
Statman, M., Fisher, K. L., & Anginer, D. (Diciembre de 2018). Affect in a Behavioral Asset- Pricing Model. Financial Analysts Journal, 64(2). doi:https://doi.org/10.2469/faj.v64.n2.8
Su, Z., Bao, H., Li, Q., Xu, B., & Cui, X. (Junio de 2022). The prediction of price gap anomaly in Chinese stock market: Evidence from the dependent functional logit model. Finance Research Letters, 47. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2022.102702
Vasiukevich, A., & Pinsky, E. (Noviembre de 2022). Constructing portfolios using stable distributions: The case of S&P 500 sectors exchange-traded funds. Machine Learning with Applications. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mlwa.2022.100434
Viviani, J. L., & Maurel, C. (22 de Enero de 2019). Performance of Impact Investing: A value creation approach. RESEARCH IN INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS AND FINANCE, 47, 19.
doi:10.1016/j.ribaf.2018.01.001
Wang, Z., Gao, X., Huang, S., Sun, Q., Chen, Z., Tang, R., & Di, Z. (Noviembre de 2022). Measuring systemic risk contribution of global stock markets: A dynamic tail risk network approach. International Review of Financial Analysis, 84.
doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2022.102361
Ward, M., & Muller, C. (Febrero de 2015). Empirical testing of the CAPM on the JSE. Investment Analysts Journal. doi:https://doi.org/10.1080/10293523.2012.11082546
Wilkins, M. S., & Loudder, M. L. (Marzo de 2000). Articulation in cash flow statements: a resource for financial accounting courses. Journal of Accounting Education, 18(2). doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/S0748-5751(00)00007-5
Yang, H., Cai, J., Huang, L., & Marcus, A. J. (Septiembre de 2021). Bank stocks, risk factors, and tail behavior. Journal of Empirical Finance, 63.
doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2021.07.007
Ziarko, A. R., Markowski, L., Pyke, C., & Amin, S. (Noviembre de 2022). Conventional and downside CAPM: The case of London stock exchange. Global Finance Journal, 54. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfj.2022.100759
DOI: https://doi.org/10.23857/pc.v9i1.6488
Enlaces de Referencia
- Por el momento, no existen enlaces de referencia
Polo del Conocimiento
Revista Científico-Académica Multidisciplinaria
ISSN: 2550-682X
Casa Editora del Polo
Manta - Ecuador
Dirección: Ciudadela El Palmar, II Etapa, Manta - Manabí - Ecuador.
Código Postal: 130801
Teléfonos: 056051775/0991871420
Email: polodelconocimientorevista@gmail.com / director@polodelconocimiento.com
URL: https://www.polodelconocimiento.com/